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ARMs Get Better (5.875%); Flight To Safety Again; Refis Cheaper & Even More Likely Now For Several Reasons

After reading about 500 predictions over the last week that the 10-Year Treasury would soon hit 6%, it is wonderful to see it drop well below 5%. The reason is again a “flight to safety,” as...

October 22, 2026 3 min read
ARMs Get Better The 10-Year Treasury Dropped Into the 4% Range Today

7 Ways To Get Cash For Remodels, ADUs, & Construction – In A High-Rate World

Americans still spend more than $500 billion a year on remodels and home improvements, according to Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. Improvements before or after a purchase or sale...

October 21, 2026 4 min read
7 Ways To Get Cash For Remodels, ADUs, & Construction – In A High-Rate World

Seller Concessions Up; No Permanent Buydowns, Please! SB 9 Lots Need Vehicle Access; The Importance Of The Safety Dance!

45% of sellers gave buyers concessions in August, the highest % since August 2020 (per Redfin). Most concessions are across the Sun Belt, where it is much easier to build and create excess inventory,...

October 19, 2026 3 min read

2 Credit Crises Guaranteed To Bring Down Rates; Don’t Fear The New Appraisal Form!

I. The New Appraisal Form (UAD 3.6) Is Nothing To Worry About. I blogged about it in August, but I am touching on it again because we have been getting questions. TLDR: The new form will...

October 16, 2026 4 min read
2 Credit Crises Guaranteed To Bring Down Rates; Don’t Fear The New Appraisal Form!

Inflation’s Hot, But Rates Fall??? Proof Rates Don’t Fall In Election Years; No Housing Crash Here!

We live in the most interesting time ever for financial markets. Today is a case in point; if you don’t find today’s blog fascinating, I will refund your money. I. Interesting Thing #1:...

October 15, 2026 3 min read
Inflation’s Hot, But Rates Fall??? Proof Rates Don’t Fall In Election Years; No Housing Crash Here!

Inflation Pushes Rates Up; Contrarian Hope! The Mother Of All High-Rate Solutions!

In 1929, famed economist Irving Fisher proclaimed that stocks had “reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.” More interestingly, he was one of thousands who thought similarly. Not so...

October 14, 2026 3 min read
Inflation Pushes Rates Up; Contrarian Hope! The Mother Of All High-Rate Solutions!

Which Party’s Midterm Victory Is Better For Rates? Dems or GOP?

Two friends of mine panic-sold much of their stock portfolios in 2016 when Trump won his first election. Both missed out on significant gains, as stock prices (and interest rates) shot up...

October 12, 2026 3 min read

How Small Is Too Small? One Tiny House; 10 BIG Lending Lessons

A borrower recently asked about financing a 445 sq ft property on a 10,000 sq ft lot accessible only via a walking easement across the street-fronting property (no vehicle access).

October 9, 2026 4 min read

ARMs Are Back; Why I/O’s Better; Beating Up On Brokers; 2nd Kitchen Bad; Wet Bar Good; Chase’s Comically Bad Advertising

I. 2nd Unpermitted Kitchens Are “Health And Safety Risks” & Not Allowed (Yank The Stove) This is a brief reminder that lenders don't allow homes with a second unpermitted kitchen, something we...

October 8, 2026 3 min read
ARMs Are Back; Why I/O’s Better; Beating Up On Brokers; 2nd Kitchen Bad; Wet Bar Good; Chase’s Comically Bad Advertising

Rates Up Again! Will They Go to 9%? Mirrors of 2008!! Interest-Only, PLEASE!

Just when you think rates can’t go any higher… they go higher. Many prominent analysts think they can go much higher too – all the way to 9% in some cases. Chris Whalen is one, as he...

October 7, 2026 3 min read

Cavemen Worry Wheel Will Kill Jobs! There Is Still Lots Of Business! October Is The Best Time To Buy

I. “Caveman Issues Dire Warning That The Wheel Is Going To Eliminate Countless Jobs” I saw the headline above a few weeks ago and thought, “Man, I sure hope nobody […]

October 5, 2026 3 min read

Cheaper “Hybrid” (Lender/Seller Paid) Buydowns; Benefits For Buyers/Sellers: RATES NEVER MOVE IN A STRAIGHT LINE

I. Rates Never Move In a Straight Line! (Why This Is So Important!) Rates have trended steadily upward since 2022 – and they are now back to levels we have not seen since 2023 (briefly) or the...

October 2, 2026 3 min read
Cheaper “Hybrid” (Lender/Seller Paid) Buydowns; Benefits For Buyers/Sellers: RATES NEVER MOVE IN A STRAIGHT LINE

Qualifying With Assets Alone; No Income Docs Necessary!

Woohoo! Rates fell today from 7.5% yesterday to 7.49% today! Refi boom? Probably not… but at least rates didn't go up today. A. Higher Asset Values + More Flexible Lending = More Ways to...

October 1, 2026 2 min read
Qualifying With Assets Alone; No Income Docs Necessary!

Inflation Cools, But Rates Up? Cost of a Buydown to 4.5%!

I. In Monday’s blog, I mentioned that sellers could offer a first-year rate of 4.49% with a 3-2-1 seller-paid buydown. This is what shocked me. I have blogged about temporary buydowns at...

September 30, 2026 2 min read
Inflation Cools, But Rates Up? Cost of a Buydown to 4.5%!
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