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Rates Up Again! Will They Go to 9%? Mirrors of 2008!! Interest-Only, PLEASE!

Just when you think rates can’t go any higher… they go higher. Many prominent analysts think they can go much higher too – all the way to 9% in some cases. Chris Whalen is one, as he...

October 7, 2026 3 min read

Inflation Cools, But Rates Up? Cost of a Buydown to 4.5%!

I. In Monday’s blog, I mentioned that sellers could offer a first-year rate of 4.49% with a 3-2-1 seller-paid buydown. This is what shocked me. I have blogged about temporary buydowns at...

September 30, 2026 2 min read
Inflation Cools, But Rates Up? Cost of a Buydown to 4.5%!

Why Beef and Mortgages Are So Expensive (It’s The Same Reason!); AI TOO!

Beef prices have soared since 2020. Ground beef is up from just over $4 per pound to almost $7 per pound on average. At the high end, ribeye steaks have risen from as low as $9 to as much as $40 per...

September 23, 2026 4 min read
Why Beef and Mortgages Are So Expensive (It’s The Same Reason!); AI TOO!

Oil Prices & Rates Drop; Why Nobody Can Predict Anything!

Rates fell today on news of possible diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran and news that oil shipment volume has been higher than analysts thought.

September 21, 2026 4 min read
Oil Prices & Rates Drop; Why Nobody Can Predict Anything!

Is A Recession Our Only Hope For Rate Relief? Why Care About Radiologists? Loan Limits Up – Do We Care?

I. Radiologists: The Best AI & Economic Lesson Ever? In 2016, Geoffrey Hinton (The “Godfather of AI”) predicted that radiologists would be obsolete in five years. BUT – now there's a...

September 18, 2026 3 min read
Is A Recession Our Only Hope For Rate Relief? Why Care About Radiologists? Loan Limits Up – Do We Care?

Lending Against 1/2 Finished Home; Trump’s Losing The Oil War To Iran, Ukraine, and Newsom

We can lend against the half-finished home, as long as the appraiser gives no or minimal value to the unfinished portion (just calling it “storage”), and only gives value to the finished portion...

September 14, 2026 3 min read

Remembering Oct 18th, 2023 – An Ominous Day; Iran Launched Operation High Gas Prices

Today was the worst-case scenario for interest rates. But – at least there are some very interesting takeaways. 1. Iran’s Most Powerful Remaining Weapon Is Working.  Iran’s military...

September 10, 2026 4 min read
Remembering Oct 18th, 2023 – An Ominous Day; Iran Launched Operation High Gas Prices

Property Age Impacts Value Less Than You Think; 3 Condo Appraisal Reminders; Inflation Confusion

I. Don’t Count On Large Age Adjustments by Appraisers, Unless… We used to finance new home purchases for a large developer that offered minimal front landscaping, no rear landscaping, and...

August 26, 2026 4 min read
Property Age Impacts Value Less Than You Think; 3 Condo Appraisal Reminders; Inflation Confusion

Taxing Elon’s Wealth Would LOWER Rates (A Lot); Thank God The Economy’s So Weak!

I. Agents and Loan Officers Have No Idea How Lucky They Are Right Now – Because the Economy Is So Weak! The 10-Year Treasury yield is over 4.7% - a level we saw in 2023 when inflation was...

August 21, 2026 4 min read
Taxing Elon’s Wealth Would LOWER Rates (A Lot); Thank God The Economy’s So Weak!

Rates Fall As Treasury Rides To The Rescue With Bond Purchases. Will It Work?

I was going to blog about the new appraisal form – but this is too big a deal to ignore today. There is only one thing Donald Trump fears more than an orange makeup shortage or a windy day: high...

August 19, 2026 2 min read
Rates Fall As Treasury Rides To The Rescue With Bond Purchases. Will It Work?

Coming Financial Event That Ensures You’ll Drive a Lexus; Why Warsh Is Pushing Rates Way Up

Rates continue to rise not just because of oil prices but also because of Fed Chair Walsh!

August 10, 2026 4 min read
Coming Financial Event That Ensures You’ll Drive a Lexus; Why Warsh Is Pushing Rates Way Up

Why Are Boomers So Rich? Theft? Selfishness? Shrewd Investing? Hard Work? Luck?

The dog park near my CA home is populated entirely by boomers with free-and-clear $3+ million homes – and very fat retirement accounts.

July 27, 2026 4 min read

CA’s EXTRAORDINARY Weather; Morgan Stanley: “Dude, Home Prices Aren’t Crashing; Stop Waiting…”

I. Woohoo – Rates Fell! The 10-Year Treasury yield fell a “whopping” 4 basis points (4/100th) this morning…and the mortgage industry cheered (even though mortgage rates barely...

July 24, 2026 5 min read
CA’s EXTRAORDINARY Weather; Morgan Stanley: “Dude, Home Prices Aren’t Crashing; Stop Waiting…”

Why Oil Prices Are Not Surging! Gasoline ≠Oil; Assuaging Payment Shock Part II

I. Why Oil Prices Are Not Spiking (and…Thank God, They’re Not) The last time the Iran war heated up like it is now, oil prices surged to over $100 per barrel. But today, West Texas Crude...

July 20, 2026 4 min read
Why Oil Prices Are Not Surging! Gasoline ≠Oil; Assuaging Payment Shock Part II
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