Tag Archive for: bond market

Strong Jobs Report Pushes Rates DOWN? FHA Condo Spot Approvals

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Rates continue to bounce up and down today, but the jobs report clearly should not be taken too seriously, and it appears that the economy is still on very soft footing. Remember too that the jobs market is the last domino to fall when recessions hit.Read More

Why Do We HATE Each Other So Much? And Why Does It Matter For Housing?

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America has not been this contentious or polarized since the Civil War – as most readers know. Many people blame social media for this polarization. The ability to post online without being face-to-face and the ability to post anonymously – seems to foster much more contentious and polarizing discourse.Read More

World To Drown in U.S. Debt – Pushing Rates WAY UP; Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Debt; Bond Auctions Fail! But Rates Fall??? Why???

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EVERYONE and I mean EVERYONE is in a panic over our massive deficits and the subsequent borrowing by the U.S. to cover them – because it has the potential to push interest rates through the roof! Last week alone, Moody's downgraded U.S. Debt (or lowered its bond rating over deficit concerns) and a Treasury auction "failed," meaning there were not enough buyers for our Treasury bonds at the offered rates.Read More

Bond Yields/Interest Rates Soar! Uh Oh! What’s Really Scary?

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I was at a mortgage conference yesterday with 50 of the biggest producers in the industry, and there was panic in the room. The reason? The bond market was melting down in response to a much higher than expected “job openings” number from the “JOLTS” report.Read More

Inflation Down & Rates UP? Uh Oh… What Now??

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Yesterday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report showed “the most intense decline in inflation in 70 years.” And rates increased at the end of the day – SHOCKING THE FINANCIAL WORLD! […]Read More

Fed Raises Rates; Mortgage Rates PLUMMET; Why? JVM’s Here to Stay!

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JVM was officially founded in 2006, and effectively founded in 1999 under another name by my wife, Heejin – with much of her operation carrying over to JVM in 2006. All this is to say that we are definitely here to stay, as we have ridden through several very serious downturns with nary a scratch, and we are now stronger than ever.Read More

Europe Raised Rates By 1/2%, and Rates FELL

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The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its short-term rate (its equivalent to the Fed Funds Rate that the Fed raises here in the U.S.) by a full 1/2% yesterday. It shocked many observers because Europe is facing a banking crisis that is potentially much worse than what we face here in the U.S. (for reasons I won’t go into for brevity’s sake).Read More

When Great Economic News Is Actually Bad News

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I Was Slapped in the Face With Very Good Economic News! For months now, I have been explaining how weak our overall economy is and why that portends much lower […]Read More

Inflation & Rates Increase But Industry Experts Still Bet On Low Rates

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The current surge in commodity prices such as wheat, nickel, copper, and oil is fostering doom and gloom predictions – of mass shortages and runaway inflation. So, in light of that, why is Raoul Pal, the founder and CEO of “Real Vision” buying bonds in a bet that interest rates will fall? Pal thinks higher prices will crush demand and that a recession is looming.Read More

Why Are Rates Not HIGHER – With Inflation, Fed Tightening, & Economy Improving?

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HORRIFIC SPACE SHUTTLE CRASH On January 28th, 1986, the entire world watched the Space Shuttle Challenger explode and crash to the earth – on live TV. Seven people lost their […]Read More

Inflation Way Up & Rates Down? What Does The Bond Market Know?

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I blog about inflation over and over b/c its potential to send interest rates into the stratosphere and to disrupt our entire economy is so strong. The last time we […]Read More