The Fed looks at three things when deciding to cut rates:
Inflation. CPI came in cooler than expected today, despite tariffs, so that bodes well for rate cuts. Note: many people on X insist tariffs are deflationary because they destroy/reduce demand.
Labor Market. Powell believes the labor market is holding strong but many analysts believe it is getting much weaker, as per this post by Danielle DiMartino Booth
How Much They Dislike The President. 😊 This factor does not bode well for rate cuts.
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