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Please Share Our Content; How Fast Will The Economy Recover?

An older man sits inside a re-opened cafe and drinks a cup of tea while reading the newspaper about the economic recovery We love it when readers share our content – so please feel free to continue doing so.

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Content Source: Jay Voorhees of JVM Lending – “#1 Reason We’re Not In A Housing Bubble; Life Events & Housing

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WHAT SHAPE WILL THE REBOUND TAKE

The above subheading is a link to Andy Kessler’s column in the WSJ today (as always we can send key excerpts to non-subscribers upon request).

Mr. Kessler, one of my favorite columnists b/c of his pragmatic accuracy, addresses the question that is on everyone’s mind now that economies are slowly starting to re-open: What will the recovery look like?

Kessler thinks a “V” shaped recovery, where we spring back quickly, and even a “U” shaped recovery, where we come back to life more slowly, are both unlikely now.

Kessler says we’ve now been in lockdown mode too long for a recovery to be “fast,” as stores, movie theaters, airlines, etc. have all suffered permanent damage.

It will be some time before they regain their respective footings and rehire to perform at pre-COVID-levels. And many firms of course will never recover b/c of permanently changed habits and/or too much financial damage.

But Kessler remains optimistic overall.

His main points are: (1) we need to re-open as soon as possible to avoid doing any more permanent damage; and (2) we will recover but there will be no “shape”- our recovery will be in fits and starts.

Kessler’s hope is that politicians foster economic growth by encouraging businesses to expand and hire via less regulation, pointing out how stagnant economies are as damaging to a society as anything else.

Jay Voorhees
Founder/Broker | JVM Lending
(855) 855-4491 | DRE# 1197176, NMLS# 310167